Prediction Market

Spain's Ministry of Consumer Affairs published sanction proceedings against Polymarket and Kalshi in Spain's Official State Gazette on Tuesday, classifying both platforms as unlicensed gambling operators. The ministry simultaneously ordered internet service providers to block access to both

According to Spain's Ministry of Consumer Affairs, the country published sanction proceedings against Polymarket and Kalshi on Tuesday (May 26) for operating as unlicensed gambling platforms. The ministry simultaneously ordered internet service providers to block both websites nationwide, with the b

According to Bloomberg, nine large UMA holders have concentrated control over Polymarket's disputed-contract rulings over the past three years. Of the 6,400-plus addresses that participated in voting on disputes, these nine whales accounted for approximately 50% of UMA voting power and backed the

According to Polymarket data cited by Foresight News, the market implies a 33% probability that Base will launch a token by December 31, 2026. The probability of a token launch by June 30, 2026 stands at just 2%. The prediction market has recorded over $6.66 million in trading

The global IPO market in 2026 is undergoing a rare wave of concentrated listings of “super unicorns.” In Polymarket’s prediction market on the question of “which company will have the largest IPO market cap in 2026,” wagers totaling more than $2 million have already been placed. Data shows the probability of SpaceX winning is 79%, Anthropic is 16%, OpenAI is 5%, while options including Kraken, Shein, and Revolut are all below 1%. What this betting mix reflects goes far beyond speculation about t

According to Odaily Seer, a smart money account (0x1136368d7f6728e94ed14c532ab95a932f710c2e) with over $210,000 in profits purchased approximately $54,000 worth of bets on the Montreal Canadiens defeating the Carolina Hurricanes in the NHL Eastern Finals on Polymarket. The account opened the

According to Odaily Seer's monitoring of Predict.fun's 2026 NBA Championship event, the New York Knicks' championship odds surpassed the San Antonio Spurs at 29% today, up 13% for the week. The Spurs' odds fell to 27%, down 3% over the same period. The event's total contract trading volume reached a

Arc is Circle’s stablecoin-native Layer-1, announcing a prediction market blueprint focused on stablecoin execution, built-in foreign exchange, deterministic settlement, and compliant work processes. The mainnet is expected to launch in 2026, and the testnet has processed 150 million transactions. It addresses four major constraints: USDC gas, cross-currency settlement, localized UX, and auditable compliance mechanisms.

Bitcoin (BTC) is sluggish in the short term and fell, temporarily around $76,840 on May 26. Hyperliquid announced support for prediction markets based on off-chain event outcome. Squid’s third-party Gnosis Safe module was used to steal approximately $3.2 million from 86 Safes on Ethereum and Base. Squid clarified that it neither built nor deployed the contract, and the core protocol is not affected. Macro Events & Crypto Highlights 1、According to an official announcement, Hyperliquid now support

According to Odaily Seer, a smart money whale with $4 million-plus cumulative profit (address: 0x9f2fe025f84839ca81dd8e0338892605702d2ca8) purchased $530,000 worth of Knicks victory on Polymarket for Game 4 of the NBA Eastern Conference Finals at an average entry price of 54.4 cents, currently

According to Hyperliquid, the platform's prediction market launched a May CPI year-over-year contract today at 21:00 (May 26). Current trading volume stands at approximately $3,274 with open interest of roughly $5,057. Market odds currently show 43% probability for Below 4.3%, 36% for

According to its official announcement, Hyperliquid on May 26 now supports markets based on off-chain events. These markets are powered by automated news feed software run by validators as part of regular chain operations. Validators vote on the deployment and settlement of canonical markets based o

Bitcoin rose 1.6% over 24 hours to around $77,500 as crypto markets reacted to rising prediction-market odds for a U.S.-Iran peace agreement and fresh diplomatic activity in Doha. The move followed a sharp rise in Polymarket odds that a permanent U.S.-Iran deal could be reached this month, with

According to The New York Times investigation published on May 24, 2026, senior staff at the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission were sidelined, suspended, or pushed out after raising concerns about crypto and prediction market firms linked to allies of President Donald Trump, including

Indonesia has blocked access to the crypto-based prediction market platform Polymarket after the site opened a betting market on whether President Prabowo Subianto would leave office before his term ends in 2029. Key Takeaways: Indonesia’s Ministry of Communication and Digital Affairs blocked

According to Odaily Seer, Polymarket listed a prediction market on May 25 asking whether Cristiano Ronaldo and his son Ronaldo Jr. will compete in an official professional match by December 31, 2026. The 41-year-old Ronaldo's contract with Al-Nassr runs through 2027, while his nearly 16-year-old son

Gate News reports that, according to an official Gate announcement, the platform has completed a new round of functional upgrades for its prediction markets. This upgrade mainly introduces features such as Polymarket monitoring, Live real-time markets, and an event comments section, aiming to improve users’ efficiency in accessing information in prediction markets and their ability to make trading decisions. The upgrade has been integrated into the Gate App v8.20. In terms of trading capabilitie