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ROWPartners

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There's talk of a huge $IBIT "dark pool sale"
Normally ETF's don't matter as they're SPOT Bitcoin
HOWEVER, @ 10:30 there was heavy selling
The buys tried to eat it up but couldn't
$BTC still has the Inverse Head & Shoulder formation going
We sold most before & are WAITING
IBIT-0.34%
BTC-0.86%
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The semiconductor index has struggled at the 262% Fibonacci level
$SOX also struggled at the 162% level
Last time the $SMH index took around 3 months & a little bit more than a 10% correction before breaking out
SMH-0.11%
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Look closely at the top 15 crypto right now
If someone showed you this lineup a few years ago:
$SOL $87
$ZEC $670 right outside the top 10
$HYPE in the top 10
You wouldn’t have believed them1
What’s the most surprising asset on this list today? 👇
$BTC
$ETH
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Look closely at the top 15 crypto right now
If someone showed you this lineup a few years ago:
$SOL $87
$ZEC $670 right outside the top 10
$HYPE with single digit market cap
You wouldn’t have believed them.
What’s the most surprising asset on this list today? 👇
$BTC $ETH
SOL-0.19%
ZEC-9.02%
HYPE0.83%
BTC-0.86%
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Very, very interesting
$VIX was bumping its chest
Looked as if it was getting ready to fight
Boy, what a divergence!!!
Barring a change, TODAY, it is not ready, by any means...
Also
10Yr Yield, cooling off
Oil is also cooling off
VIX-1.34%
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$BTC is still in the process of forming an Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern
This pattern tends to be a bottom maker and has huge Bullish tendencies
BTC-0.86%
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Look at volume
It's an indicator of who's buying & selling
$BTC $ETH
Both are light on buying
BUT, let's see how sells & buys do the next few days, Bitcoin still the BEST chart
In similar fashion $SOL is a bit better than $XRP
Solana is the only one with an improving $ Flow
BTC-0.86%
ETH-0.56%
SOL-0.19%
XRP-0.59%
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NexaCrypto:
LFG 🔥
View More
Crude is coiling
$GUSH is respecting the coil
Futures based products $UCO $WTIU $OILU are front running a bullish resolution
Energy equities $ERX are pricing in strength regardless of crude
This divergence usually resolves with:
*Crude RIPS higher
Futures products CRASH
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Close is important
We should be getting the mid day bump soon...
SOON5.3%
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$SOX losing the red MA, 1st time since 3/31 it traded under

Sitting on the green MA with RSI pinned at 50 = classic neutral to vulnerable behavior
Not a breakdown, but SEMIS are no longer in control
Next few sessions decide whether this is a pause or a shift in trend
$SMH
SMH-0.11%
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🚨🚨🚨
$VIX RSI crossed the 50, yellow circle
Gap fill calling?
Fibonacci chart
The real battleground is 38.2 to 50%
A move into that zone fills the gap & signals rising stress
Until then, volatility stays contained
Equities sensitive here, watch reactions, not headlines
VIX-1.34%
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1/3
$BTC currently squeezed in a trading range between these two points
BTC closes above the red line defines a macro trend continuation toward new highs, a new expansion leg
This area holds a heavy supply of Bitcoin from trapped longs & systematic sellers
BTC-0.86%
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Gap Risk:
Chart highlights a noticeable gap down from previous weeks.
Delayed Spike: While $VIX is rising, its gains can appear muted relative to the equity selloff
Was hedging already priced into options premiums?
Dark pools taking into effect?
VIX0.07%
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1/2
One must always recheck ideas to see if they still hold, what do we see in Bitcoin today?
What do we see today, so far?
$BTC
Friday volume picking up, it’s selling
Money Flow weaker than mid April
Negative divergence building
Broke Red MA
Mild dose of euphoria slipped in
BTC-0.86%
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Institutions were active in dark pools today and yesterday
There was heavy off the exchange activity in $SPY, $NVDA, $Q, & $INTC
Heavy call and put sales activity is heavily concentrated on the $740 to $750 strike range for $SPY
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Macro narrative is shifting quietly
Markets moved on earnings strength & easing geopolitical fears but:
Rate cut expectations pushed out
Probability of a rate hike re‑entered the curve.
Shift isn’t obvious in price action yet, but it’s building pressure beneath the surface.
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1/2
Core Drivers of Today’s Selloff
Geopolitical & Overstretched Tape
Stocks slide from record highs as Trump-Xi talks end without a deal on the Strait of Hormuz.
@ the same time, investors are taking profits from a stretched tech sector, sending $SOX tumbling
$NVDA $INTC
NVDA-0.16%
INTC-0.47%
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Something we posted a few days ago in a group chat, 10 Yr looks stronger
Coincidentally, it is breaking out today
Sept of 2025 we spoke on $TNX basing, as if it wanted to bottom, it was around 4.2%
Was not easy to see at the time
We then saw a confirm a few months later
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Light Crude just printed a clean symmetrical triangle.
Volume is textbook: lower & declining during compression.
Breakouts from this pattern typically come with heavy volume.
Structure resolves by early June, but the coil looks ready to fire before month end!
$XOM $C $WTI
LIGHT11.91%
AMP-2.49%
LOOKS-3.48%
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1/2
Let's touch on the last 2 posts.
Massive index divergence!
While $SPX flies on tech the $DJI is getting crushed by the real economy.
Weakness isn't just $CRM tech cycles, it’s the consumer.
Consumer discretionary stocks $MCD $PG $HD $NKE show the consumer is cracking.
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